Blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis projects that adjusted stablecoin transaction volume could reach $719 trillion by 2035 through organic growth alone, a figure that could climb to $1.5 quadrillion when macro catalysts are factored in.
The firm published a report preview on April 8, 2026, outlining how stablecoins have evolved from crypto-native trading tools into core payments infrastructure. Chainalysis said stablecoins processed $28 trillion in real economic volume in 2025, growing at a 133% compound annual growth rate since 2023.
What Chainalysis Forecasts for Stablecoin Volume by 2035
The report lays out two scenarios. The base case, built on organic growth trends, puts adjusted stablecoin volume at $719 trillion by 2035. The upside case, which layers in macro catalysts like regulatory clarity and new payment use cases, pushes that figure toward $1.5 quadrillion.
The distinction matters. The $719 trillion figure assumes stablecoins continue expanding at roughly the pace they have maintained since 2023, without major new market segments opening up. The upside scenario assumes specific structural shifts in global finance actually materialize.
That $28 trillion in 2025 volume already represents a substantial base. For context, Visa and Mastercard combined process roughly $20 trillion in annual card payment volume, meaning stablecoins have already surpassed traditional card rails in raw throughput, though the composition of that volume differs significantly.
How Today’s Stablecoin Market Size Frames the 2035 Projection
Most coverage of the Chainalysis report repeated the headline figures without anchoring them in present-day market data. Current stablecoin market capitalization stands at about $290.1 billion, with 24-hour trading volume near $78.5 billion.
Those numbers frame the scale of the projection. A move from $28 trillion in annual volume to $719 trillion implies roughly a 25x increase over ten years. The $1.5 quadrillion upside case implies more than a 50x increase from the current base.
Broader crypto sentiment remains cautious, with the Fear & Greed Index sitting at 16, deep in “Extreme Fear” territory. But this story is not a same-day price catalyst. It is a long-duration payments infrastructure thesis, closer in nature to how macro policy shifts have driven recent Bitcoin moves than to short-term trading signals.
The risk-off backdrop in crypto markets, similar to the conditions seen when Binance Research flagged weekend perps as a sentiment signal, underscores that stablecoin adoption is driven by utility rather than speculation.
Why Payments Adoption and Regulation Could Push Stablecoins Higher
Chainalysis identified two primary catalysts behind the upside scenario. The first is generational wealth transfer, which the firm estimated could add $508 trillion to annual stablecoin transaction volume by 2035 as younger, crypto-native inheritors route assets through digital rails.
The second catalyst is point-of-sale saturation. If stablecoins penetrate retail checkout at scale, that channel alone could contribute $232 trillion in annual volume by 2035, according to a summary published by CoinMarketCap Academy.
On the regulatory front, the GENIUS Act represents what Chainalysis described as serious regulatory momentum in the United States. The legislation would establish a federal framework for stablecoin issuers, providing the legal certainty that institutional payment providers need before integrating blockchain-based settlement.
Chainalysis wrote that “the blockchain is now the essential plumbing for the next era of global payments.” That framing positions stablecoins not as speculative assets but as infrastructure competing with SWIFT, card networks, and correspondent banking.
For Southeast Asian markets, the implications center on cross-border payments and exchange settlement. Remittance corridors across ASEAN nations have long suffered from high fees and slow settlement times. Stablecoin rails offer a direct alternative, and regulatory frameworks in Singapore and Thailand have already begun accommodating digital payment tokens.
The broader landscape of crypto-adjacent ventures, including high-profile project launches in the U.S., suggests that institutional appetite for blockchain-based financial infrastructure continues to grow regardless of short-term market sentiment.
Whether the $719 trillion base case or the $1.5 quadrillion upside materializes depends on execution across regulatory, technological, and adoption dimensions. The Chainalysis report provides the most detailed public roadmap yet for how stablecoins could scale from a $28 trillion market to one that rivals or exceeds traditional payment networks within a decade.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency and digital asset markets carry significant risk. Always do your own research before making decisions.
